Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.014441 0.016167 0.017910 0.019796 0.021775 0.023784 0.025973
2025-04-27 0.011052 0.013720 0.016540 0.019714 0.023159 0.026763 0.030796
2025-05-04 0.008826 0.011960 0.015397 0.019380 0.023808 0.028533 0.033909
2025-05-11 0.007410 0.010877 0.014804 0.019465 0.024747 0.030467 0.037054
2025-05-18 0.006251 0.009941 0.014255 0.019488 0.025516 0.032126 0.039816
2025-05-25 0.005156 0.008957 0.013550 0.019244 0.025910 0.033304 0.041985
2025-06-01 0.004371 0.008273 0.013135 0.019282 0.026574 0.034742 0.044404
2025-06-08 0.003598 0.007516 0.012568 0.019085 0.026923 0.035786 0.046347
2025-06-15 0.003017 0.006953 0.012198 0.019089 0.027475 0.037036 0.048497
2025-06-22 0.002410 0.006275 0.011628 0.018806 0.027655 0.037831 0.050106
2025-06-29 0.001860 0.005602 0.011015 0.018432 0.027694 0.038438 0.051479
2025-07-06 0.001233 0.004680 0.009992 0.017482 0.026996 0.038152 0.051795
2025-07-13 0.001009 0.004448 0.009950 0.017835 0.027939 0.039854 0.054482
2025-07-20 0.000719 0.004021 0.009604 0.017779 0.028381 0.040973 0.056511
2025-07-27 0.000442 0.003511 0.009085 0.017460 0.028470 0.041652 0.058010
2025-08-03 0.000288 0.003219 0.008874 0.017541 0.029049 0.042909 0.060175
2025-08-10 0.000164 0.002925 0.008633 0.017563 0.029539 0.044048 0.062192
2025-08-17 0.000060 0.002555 0.008228 0.017331 0.029689 0.044763 0.063699
2025-08-24 0.000014 0.002316 0.008021 0.017367 0.030173 0.045876 0.065671
2025-08-31 NaN 0.002017 0.007673 0.017180 0.030354 0.046610 0.067182
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001806 0.007465 0.017184 0.030776 0.047631 0.069031
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001527 0.007086 0.016915 0.030826 0.048184 0.070310
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001250 0.006665 0.016560 0.030744 0.048564 0.071374